Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.439108 0.519926 0.610071 0.717874 0.843086 0.983723 1.153445
2024-12-22 0.305525 0.405508 0.528952 0.691762 0.899947 1.156251 1.494615
2024-12-29 0.246543 0.355878 0.501243 0.706960 0.988594 1.358345 1.877794
2025-01-05 0.206222 0.319364 0.479350 0.719293 1.066584 1.546828 2.255941
2025-01-12 0.171507 0.282936 0.449416 0.712279 1.111806 1.689833 2.580881
2025-01-19 0.145810 0.254813 0.426004 0.709113 1.158608 1.835520 2.919339
2025-01-26 0.131687 0.242301 0.423909 0.736782 1.252926 2.057845 3.389705
2025-02-02 0.128984 0.248180 0.451529 0.814382 1.432872 2.426431 4.116754
2025-02-09 0.118362 0.238271 0.450888 0.843857 1.535837 2.680595 4.682270
2025-02-16 0.103499 0.218127 0.429460 0.834101 1.570183 2.823984 5.076620
2025-02-23 0.088471 0.195199 0.399756 0.805359 1.567188 2.902499 5.365919
2025-03-02 0.074669 0.172448 0.367208 0.766941 1.541703 2.938153 5.581545
2025-03-09 0.069931 0.168321 0.371216 0.800729 1.656863 3.238736 6.302094
2025-03-16 0.059776 0.150785 0.345956 0.773727 1.653512 3.324572 6.643371
2025-03-23 0.054895 0.144279 0.342627 0.790668 1.737399 3.578785 7.315795
2025-03-30 0.050316 0.137678 0.338117 0.804349 1.815633 3.828064 7.997910
2025-04-06 0.044751 0.127668 0.324570 0.796571 1.848116 3.989950 8.522459
2025-04-13 0.040161 0.119307 0.313610 0.793060 1.888904 4.171073 9.098299
2025-04-20 0.038100 0.117275 0.317380 0.823743 2.007065 4.519106 10.036995
2025-04-27 0.039168 0.124009 0.343416 0.909752 2.256489 5.158668 11.620004
2025-05-04 0.037248 0.121976 0.347190 0.942404 2.387365 5.556978 12.726810
2025-05-11 0.033441 0.113768 0.333979 0.931598 2.416286 5.738062 13.385985
2025-05-18 0.029177 0.103359 0.313464 0.899755 2.391937 5.800042 13.792217